Economic Forecasting

Five modelling challenges in modern forecasting and stress testing

Five modelling challenges in modern forecasting and stress testing

Since the implementation of International Financial Reporting Standard (IFRS) 9, capital & impairment forecasting and stress testing has seen a sharp rise in complexity across the banking industry. 4most consultants have been working on projects dealing with Internal Capital Adequacy Assessment Process (ICAAP)…

Households due to take on more debt in the long term as finances squeezed, Budget indicates

The final March budget didn’t spring any surprises.  While the Chancellor presented a more optimistic picture for short-term growth,  predications from the Office for Budget Responsibility’s (OBR) forecasts indicate that the improvement will likely not last long. 

4most appoints Keith Church as Head of Economic Modelling

07 March 2017, London: 4most, the global credit risk consultancy, has announced the appointment of Keith Church as Head of Economic Modelling. Keith joins 4most from Oxford Economics, where he was Director of Macro Modelling, holding responsibility for the development and coherence of Oxford Economics Global Economic Model.