The Bank of England has today published the latest outlook from the Financial Policy Committee and outlined the scenario for 2018’s bank stress tests, providing us with an indication of its likely areas of focus in assessing UK financial stability.
Yesterday the Bank of England kicked off the 2017 stress testing season with publication of two economic scenarios. While the second Annual Cyclical Scenario (ACS) looks at capital positions under stress and – given the economic assumptions are little different from last year, succeeds in its aim of making the exercise predictable – the first ever Bank Exploratory Scenario (BES) tests the banks’ ability to react to a world where the picture is one of compressed profit margins and competition for funding.
Last week we heard that the European Central Bank had closed ranks with the Bank of England to avert the Brexit crunch. With the vote of the EU Referendum hanging in the wings, the European Central Bank has pledged to flood the financial system with euro liquidity if credit markets seize up after a Brexit vote.