The Bank of England has today published the latest outlook from the Financial Policy Committee and outlined the scenario for 2018’s bank stress tests, providing us with an indication of its likely areas of focus in assessing UK financial stability.
Yesterday the Bank of England kicked off the 2017 stress testing season with publication of two economic scenarios. While the second Annual Cyclical Scenario (ACS) looks at capital positions under stress and – given the economic assumptions are little different from last year, succeeds in its aim of making the exercise predictable – the first ever Bank Exploratory Scenario (BES) tests the banks’ ability to react to a world where the picture is one of compressed profit margins and competition for funding.
Last week the headlines unveiled ramblings of a new stress test from Europe’s top banking regulator, which it suggests is impossible for the region’s lenders to fail. True? Well, the watered-down, stress-free stress tests come at a time of market chaos, according to reports, and also amid investor concerns over the strength and stability of the European banking industry.